Each anniversary Neil Greenberg makes NFL bold predictions based on a multitude of factors that will accept an appulse on game day. These accommodate ability stats such as success rates, yards per comedy and yards accustomed per play, additional credibility denticulate based on backbone of opponent. Point spreads are the accord allowance from assorted sportsbooks in Vegas.
A team's win anticipation is based on applying the archetypal from Wayne Winston's book Mathletics to my own point spread, which is acquired in allotment from the Simple Rating System.
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Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle has absent aloof one bold at home over the accomplished two seasons but arresting penalties are on the rise, which could bassinet the Legion of Boom's effectiveness.
Pick: Green Bay +6
Win probability: Seattle Seahawks 64.6 percent
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans has a lot of weapons at its disposal, however, Atlanta has Matt Ryan plus a advantageous Julio Jones and Roddy White in the lineup. The Falcons could accumulate it abutting and win outright.
Pick: Atlanta +3
Win probability: Atlanta Falcons 52.6 percent
Buffalo Bills @ Chicago Bears
Buffalo is not activity to drive abhorrence into the hearts of Bears men, but there are affluence of affidavit to abatement Chicago's offense.
Pick: Buffalo +7
Win probability: Chicago Bears 70.3 percent
Washington Redskins @ Houston Texans
On paper, Washington should be good. On the field, it isn't. At atomic not yet. Apprehend Clowney and Watts to be too abundant to accumulate RGIII calmly in the pocket.
Pick: Houston -3
Win probability: Houston Texans 60.0 percent
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have Jamaal Charles, the best all about alive aback in the league, and had multiple players on aegis accomplish the Pro Bowl. They should cover.
Pick: Kansas City -4
Win probability: Kansas City Chiefs 69.6 percent
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
New England, the third best aggregation in my preseason ability rankings, added cornerback Darrelle Revis. And while that should accomplish activity difficult for Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill, it won't accomplish it impossible.
Pick: Miami +5.5
Win probability: New England Patriots 54.9 percent
Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets
The Raiders will be the alone aggregation starting a rookie quarterback in Anniversary 1, so I apprehend the Jets to blitz. And blitz. And assault and assault and blitz. Nose accouterment Sheldon Richardson — who ability be the best in the bold at that position — and arresting end Muhammad Wilkerson had 15 sacks, 14 quarterback hits and 56 hurries amid them aftermost season.
Pick: Jets -5.5
Win probability: New York Jets 67.3 percent
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles
The alliance will eventually bolt up with Chip Kelly's no ataxia offense, which generated 6.3 yards per comedy aftermost division (tied with Denver), but not until at atomic Anniversary 2.
Pick: Philadelphia -10
Win probability: Philadelphia Eagles 81.2 percent
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
A all-a-quiver breach (Cleveland) meets a all-a-quiver aegis (Pittsburgh), but the Browns are 3-6 adjoin the advance in Pittsburgh over the accomplished decade and accept Brian Hoyer beneath center. Hoyer has averaged 4.9 adapted net yards per attack in his career, which ranks 47 out of 74 alive QBs with at atomic 100 career casual attempts.
Pick: Pittsburgh -6.5
Win probability: Pittsburgh Steelers: 67.5 percent
Minnesota Vikings @ St. Louis Rams
Since 2010, the Vikings accept gone 7-24-1 on the alley in the approved season, third affliction acceptable allotment in that time span. That includes 0-3 in the opener.
Pick: St. Louis -4
Win probability: St. Louis Rams 61.6 percent
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Over the accomplished three years, Dalton has thrown for 584 yards with three interceptions to go forth with three touchdown passes in the division opener. That's bad account for my fantasy aggregation but acceptable account for Baltimore.
Pick: Baltimore -1.5
Win probability: Baltimore Ravens 56.6 percent
San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
Pop quiz: which aegis will be worse? The actual acknowledgment is both. This should be an abhorrent shootout that's aural a acreage goal.
Pick: Dallas +5
Win probability: San Francisco 49ers 54.6 percent
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The bloom of Carolina quarterback Cam Newton is a catechism mark, but the Panther's aegis boasts one of the best avant-garde seven in the NFL.
Pick: Carolina aces 'em
Win probability: Carolina Panthers 52.9 percent
Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos
Reggie Wayne is in for the Colts, Wes Welker is out for the Broncos, so the advantage goes to Indianapolis. But the accident of Robert Mathis, who had 19 1/2 sacks aftermost season, to abeyance is too abundant for them to overcome. Plus, the Colts accept not covered the advance in Anniversary 1 back 2007.
Pick: Denver -7.5
Win probability: Denver Broncos 70.8 percent
San Diego Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals
Injuries (Eddie Whitley and Darnell Dockett) and suspensions (Daryl Washington) put a damper on Arizona at the access of the season, but they should still accept abundant to win. But Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers can accumulate the account close.
Pick: San Diego +3
Win probability: Arizona Cardinals 58.8 percent
New York Giants @ Detroit Lions
It appears to be demography best than accepted for the Giants to butt the new West Coast breach installed by Ben McAdoo. Eli Manning managed to complete aloof 48.8 percent of his passes for 188 yards this preseason and was sacked bristles times. Detroit wins, but barely.
Pick: Giants +5.5
Win probability: Detroit Lions 61.9 percent